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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
ZN

Ghana
3 - 1
Zimbabwe

Kudus (5'), Partey (66'), Ayew (87')
Kudus (31'), Djiku (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musona (49' pen.)
Hadebe (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
GhanaDrawZimbabwe
47.99%28.53%23.48%
Both teams to score 40.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.86%64.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.72%83.28%
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97%27.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61%62.39%
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06%43.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93%80.07%
Score Analysis
    Ghana 47.98%
    Zimbabwe 23.48%
    Draw 28.52%
GhanaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 15.53%
2-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 8.36%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 11.87%
2-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.48%

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