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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
MN

Gibraltar
0 - 3
Montenegro


Goldwin (41')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marusic (7'), Beciraj (44' pen., 68')
Beciraj (45+6'), Tomasevic (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawMontenegro
28.33%24.64%47.03%
Both teams to score 55.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2%46.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94%69.06%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73%30.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56%66.44%
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03%19.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86%52.14%
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 28.33%
    Montenegro 47.03%
    Draw 24.63%
GibraltarDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-1 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 5.03%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.03%
0-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.03%

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