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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
GN

Norway
5 - 1
Gibraltar

Thorstvedt (23'), Braut Haaland (27', 39', 90+1'), Sorloth (59')
Thorstvedt (36')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Styche (43')
Mouelhi (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawGibraltar
63.57%22.15%14.29%
Both teams to score 43.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75%53.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19%74.81%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32%45.68%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.41%83.6%
Score Analysis
    Norway 63.55%
    Gibraltar 14.29%
    Draw 22.14%
NorwayDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 14.29%
2-0 @ 13.01%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.72%
4-0 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.07%
5-0 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 0.95%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 63.55%
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.68%
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.29%

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