Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.