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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
MN

Netherlands
4 - 0
Montenegro

Depay (38' pen., 62'), Wijnaldum (70'), Gakpo (76')
Bergwijn (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savic (20'), Lagator (37'), Osmajic (67'), Vukcevic (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawMontenegro
65.05%22.15%12.8%
Both teams to score 39.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44%56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91%77.09%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35%16.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51%46.49%
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.49%52.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.67%86.33%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 65.04%
    Montenegro 12.8%
    Draw 22.15%
NetherlandsDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 15.67%
2-0 @ 14.04%
2-1 @ 9.05%
3-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 5.41%
4-0 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 65.04%
1-1 @ 10.09%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 5.63%
1-2 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 12.8%

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