Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Morocco win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
