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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
MN

Guinea
1 - 4
Morocco

Kane (31')
Kamano (40'), Keita (45+1'), Sylla (59'), Sylla (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
El Kaabi (21'), Amallah (43', 65'), Boufal (89')
Chakla (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Morocco win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
GuineaDrawMorocco
38.58%23.33%38.09%
Both teams to score 64.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51%37.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.28%59.72%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16%19.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.08%51.92%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94%20.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71%52.29%
Score Analysis
    Guinea 38.58%
    Morocco 38.09%
    Draw 23.33%
GuineaDrawMorocco
2-1 @ 8.37%
1-0 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 38.58%
1-1 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 6.72%
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 4.45%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 38.09%

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