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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 6, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
GN

Sudan
1 - 1
Guinea

Thierry (72')
Adil (26'), Achrine (60'), El Shighail (60'), Abdalla (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bayo (56')
Camara (30'), Kante (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sudan win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
SudanDrawGuinea
30.26%29.7%40.03%
Both teams to score 42.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.25%64.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.28%83.71%
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65%38.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9%75.1%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32%31.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9%68.09%
Score Analysis
    Sudan 30.26%
    Guinea 40.03%
    Draw 29.69%
SudanDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 12.14%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.69%
0-1 @ 13.96%
0-2 @ 8.03%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-3 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 40.03%

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