Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Curacao win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.