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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pristina City Stadium
GN

Kosovo
1 - 2
Georgia

Muriqi (45' pen.)
Dresevic (19'), Rashani (32'), Rrahmani (90+3'), Kastrati (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okriashvili (11'), Davitashvili (82')
Giorbelidze (32'), Okriashvili (45+3'), Chabradze (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Georgia win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
KosovoDrawGeorgia
44.49%24.98%30.53%
Both teams to score 56.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87%47.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.63%69.37%
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79%21.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89%54.11%
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11%28.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24%64.76%
Score Analysis
    Kosovo 44.49%
    Georgia 30.53%
    Draw 24.97%
KosovoDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.61%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.53%

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