Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 64.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 11.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.89%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
