Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Kosovo win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.