SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Kazakhstan |
23.52% ( -0.14) | 24.85% ( 0.06) | 51.63% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( -0.39) | 51.38% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( -0.34) | 73.19% ( 0.34) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.34) | 36.65% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.55% ( -0.35) | 73.44% ( 0.34) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.12) | 19.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.99% ( -0.2) | 52.01% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.52% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.62% |
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