SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Liechtenstein |
29.88% ( -1.65) | 26.47% ( -0.71) | 43.66% ( 2.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( 1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( 2.18) | 53.6% ( -2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( 1.81) | 75.1% ( -1.8) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( -0.06) | 32.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( -0.07) | 69.19% ( 0.08) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( 2.22) | 24.39% ( -2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( 3.02) | 58.8% ( -3.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.7)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.65% |
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