SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | San Marino |
38.56% ( 0.88) | 24.75% ( -0.03) | 36.69% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( 0.11) | 44.51% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( 0.11) | 66.88% ( -0.11) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( 0.51) | 22.93% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.31% ( 0.74) | 56.7% ( -0.74) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.4) | 23.91% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.88% ( -0.58) | 58.12% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | San Marino |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.56% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.69% |
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