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Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Astana Arena
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Kazakhstan
0 - 1
Slovenia


Chesnokov (9'), Bystrov (30'), Islamkhan (61'), Alip (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mlakar (55')
Ilicic (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovenia

After a miserable showing in midweek, Kazakhstan do not look like causing Slovenia many problems in the final third, with most of their main forwards short of playing time at club level. The visitors are still hoping for a top-two finish, and they can stay in contention by edging out their hosts in Pavlodar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
KazakhstanDrawSlovenia
28.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 43.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 44.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)80.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.85% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.012 -0.01)74.62% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.82% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 28.21%
    Slovenia 43.49%
    Draw 28.28%
KazakhstanDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 13.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 43.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Armenia 2-1 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-1 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Austria
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 0-0 Slovenia (3-0 pen.)
Monday, July 1 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: England 0-0 Slovenia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 20 at 2pm in European Championship


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