SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 84.07%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.29%) and 0-1 (12.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liechtenstein would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Hong Kong |
4.09% ( -0.65) | 11.84% ( -1.2) | 84.07% ( 1.84) |
| Both teams to score 31.8% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( 2.25) | 41.8% ( -2.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( 2.23) | 64.21% ( -2.24) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.34% ( -1.17) | 65.66% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.72% ( -0.5) | 93.28% ( 0.5) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.59% ( 0.92) | 7.41% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.31% ( 2.35) | 26.69% ( -2.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 1-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.92% Total : 4.09% | 1-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.19% Total : 11.84% | 0-2 @ 16.47% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 14.29% ( 0.55)0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.69)0-4 @ 9.3% ( 0.76)1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 4.84% ( 0.6)1-4 @ 3.91% ( 0.17)0-6 @ 2.1% ( 0.34)1-5 @ 2.04% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.25% Total : 84.06% |
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