Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northern Ireland would win this match.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Northern Ireland |
29.66% | 26.41% | 43.92% |
Both teams to score 50.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.53% | 53.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% | 74.99% |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% | 32.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% | 69.29% |
Northern Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% | 24.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% | 58.53% |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania | Draw | Northern Ireland |
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.91% |
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