Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
Result | ||
Malta | Draw | Croatia |
21.2% | 23.44% | 55.36% |
Both teams to score 52.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.92% | 48.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.76% | 70.24% |
Malta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.97% | 37.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.19% | 73.81% |
Croatia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% | 17.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.49% | 47.51% |
Score Analysis |
Malta | Draw | Croatia |
1-0 @ 6.33% 2-1 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.2% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 11.21% 0-2 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 5.75% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-4 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.35% |
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