SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Finland |
52.14% ( 0.53) | 26.77% ( -0.49) | 21.08% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.67% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.5% ( 1.5) | 60.5% ( -1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.38% ( 1.12) | 80.62% ( -1.12) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( 0.9) | 23.42% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% ( 1.28) | 57.42% ( -1.28) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.73% ( 0.83) | 44.27% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( 0.66) | 80.35% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Finland |
| 1-0 @ 15.05% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.45% Total : 52.14% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.08% |
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