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Nations League | League D
Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
MN

Malta
1 - 0
Moldova

Teuma (87' pen.)
Shaw (29'), Mentz (39'), Mbong (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reabciuk (30'), Cojocaru (51'), Caimacov (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Andorra
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Malta 1-2 Moldova

Now a big fish in a small pond at League D level, Moldova can do the double over managerless Malta and earn automatic promotion in the process. The visitors are on a three-match winning streak and can use that momentum to get them over the line in Ta' Qali. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
MaltaDrawMoldova
34.83% (-0.471 -0.47) 25.67% (-0.156 -0.16) 39.5% (0.631 0.63)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.465 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.629 0.63)48.87% (-0.626 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.567 0.57)70.96% (-0.563 -0.56)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.018999999999991 0.02)27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)62.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.61999999999999 0.62)24.39% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (0.867 0.87)58.81% (-0.863 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Malta 34.83%
    Moldova 39.5%
    Draw 25.66%
MaltaDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.83%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Malta 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 7-1 Malta
Friday, June 7 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 0-0 Belarus
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 2-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 21 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Andorra
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 0-4 Ukraine
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 3-2 Cyprus
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cayman Islands 0-4 Moldova
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies


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