Mauritania
1 - 1
Eq Guinea

Kamara (23')
Hacen Lembrabott (12'), Mahmoud (20'), Dellahi (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coco (58')
Balboa (27'), Obiang (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Second Round clash between Mauritania and Equatorial Guinea.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
41.8%	28.67%	29.52%

Both teams to score 44.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.31%

61.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.49%

81.5%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88%

29.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95%

65.04%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78%

37.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99%

74.01%

Score Analysis

Mauritania 41.8%

Equatorial Guinea 29.52%

Draw 28.66%

Mauritania	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 8.15% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.54% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.77% Total : 29.52%