Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.59%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.28%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
