Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Israel had a probability of 22.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
