Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Norway had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Norway win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.