Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Niger had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Niger win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
