SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 79.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Niger had a probability of 6.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (12.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Morocco |
6.08% ( -0.04) | 14.46% ( -0.04) | 79.46% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 36.22% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( 0.01) | 44.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( 0.01) | 66.82% ( -0.01) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.84% ( -0.12) | 60.15% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.27% ( -0.06) | 90.73% ( 0.06) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( 0.02) | 9.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.11% ( 0.05) | 30.88% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 6.08% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 14.46% | 0-2 @ 15.72% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 12.56% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 7.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.83% ( -0)0-5 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 79.45% |
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