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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
MN

Norway
2 - 0
Montenegro

Elyounoussi (29', 90+6')
Nyland (73'), Rode Gregersen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vujacic (49'), Radunovic (63'), Marusic (63'), Jovovic (89'), Vesovic (90+4')
Vesovic (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawMontenegro
50.6%23.82%25.58%
Both teams to score 56.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78%45.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43%67.56%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08%17.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26%48.73%
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46%31.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07%67.93%
Score Analysis
    Norway 50.6%
    Montenegro 25.58%
    Draw 23.81%
NorwayDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.58%

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