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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Turkey
1 - 1
Norway

Akturkoglu (6')
Ozdemir (65'), Yazici (84'), Ayhan (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thorstvedt (41')
Thorsby (65'), Hanche-Olsen (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Norway had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawNorway
38.28%29.04%32.68%
Both teams to score 44.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.83%62.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.14%81.85%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58%31.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.79%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88%35.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13%71.87%
Score Analysis
    Turkey 38.27%
    Norway 32.67%
    Draw 29.03%
TurkeyDrawNorway
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 38.27%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.03%
0-1 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 32.67%

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