SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 90.11%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 2.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.5%) and 0-4 (11.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.51%), while for a Pakistan win it was 1-0 (1.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.
| Result | ||
| Pakistan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
2.41% ( -0.03) | 7.48% ( -0.06) | 90.11% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 33% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.75% ( 0.13) | 29.25% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.72% ( 0.16) | 50.28% ( -0.16) |
| Pakistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.35% ( -0.09) | 65.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.72% ( -0.04) | 93.28% ( 0.04) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.07% ( 0.04) | 3.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.37% ( 0.12) | 16.63% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakistan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 2.41% | 1-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 7.48% | 0-3 @ 14.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 13.5% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 11.8% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 7.64% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.97% ( 0)0-6 @ 4.12% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)0-7 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 90.09% |
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