SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.5%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Pakistan |
69.58% ( -0.69) | 19.73% ( 0.4) | 10.68% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 40.01% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( -0.83) | 51.65% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -0.73) | 73.43% ( 0.72) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( -0.46) | 13.75% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.96% ( -0.92) | 41.03% ( 0.92) |
| Pakistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.04) | 53.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.97% ( 0.03) | 87.03% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Pakistan |
| 1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 14.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 69.57% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.73% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.68% |
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