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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Al Fateh Club Stadium
PN
Saudi Arabia
4 - 0
Pakistan
Al-Shehri (6', 48' pen.), Ghareeb (90+1'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dost (8'), Moosa (47'), Moosa (47'), Umar Hayat (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Pakistan 1-0 Cambodia
Tuesday, October 17 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Saudi Arabia 3-0 Pakistan

Although Saudi Arabia are winless in six matches, they are ranked 136 places higher than Pakistan, and as a result, we think that their extra quality will help them claim a comfortable victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.5%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawPakistan
69.58% (-0.687 -0.69) 19.73% (0.396 0.4) 10.68% (0.287 0.29)
Both teams to score 40.01% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.831 -0.83)51.65% (0.826 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.726 -0.73)73.43% (0.721 0.72)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)13.75% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (-0.923 -0.92)41.03% (0.918 0.92)
Pakistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)53.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.97% (0.025 0.03)87.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 69.57%
    Pakistan 10.68%
    Draw 19.73%
Saudi ArabiaDrawPakistan
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 14.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.6% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 69.57%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.158 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.73%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.156 0.16)
1-2 @ 2.84% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 10.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-2 Nigeria
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea
Tuesday, September 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Costa Rica
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Venezuela
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Pakistan 1-0 Cambodia
Tuesday, October 17 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Cambodia 0-0 Pakistan
Thursday, October 12 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Pakistan 1-3 Djibouti
Saturday, June 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kenya 1-0 Pakistan
Wednesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritius 3-0 Pakistan
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Maldives 1-0 Pakistan
Tuesday, March 21 at 11am in International Friendlies

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