SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.83%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Pakistan win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakistan | Draw | Tajikistan |
11.5% ( 0.12) | 19.84% ( 0.07) | 68.66% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( 0.02) | 50.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( 0.02) | 72.07% ( -0.02) |
| Pakistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.22) | 51.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.58% ( 0.15) | 85.41% ( -0.15) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( -0.05) | 13.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( -0.1) | 40.63% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakistan | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.5% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.84% | 0-1 @ 13.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 13.83% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 9.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 68.65% |
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