SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.83%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Pakistan win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakistan | Draw | Tajikistan |
11.5% ( 0.12) | 19.84% ( 0.07) | 68.66% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( 0.02) | 50.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( 0.02) | 72.07% ( -0.02) |
| Pakistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.22) | 51.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.58% ( 0.15) | 85.41% ( -0.15) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( -0.05) | 13.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.36% ( -0.1) | 40.63% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakistan | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.5% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.84% | 0-1 @ 13.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 13.83% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 9.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 68.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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