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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 30, 2022 at 10.05pm UK
 
JN

Panama
3 - 2
Jamaica

Brown (43' og.), Davis (51'), Mello (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Antonio (5' pen.), Gray (87')
Morrison (45'), Pinnock (90+4')

We said: Panama 3-1 Jamaica

Panama usually fare well in home fixtures, and after beating Jamaica 3-0 in the reverse fixture, we think that they will prevail to claim their third consecutive home victory in qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawJamaica
42.21%26.17%31.62%
Both teams to score 52.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26%51.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49%73.51%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34%58.65%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54%30.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33%66.67%
Score Analysis
    Panama 42.2%
    Jamaica 31.62%
    Draw 26.16%
PanamaDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.62%

Read more!
Read more!


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