Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jamaica | Draw | USA |
36.48% | 25.71% | 37.8% |
Both teams to score 55.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.08% | 48.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.99% | 71.01% |
Jamaica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% | 26.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% | 61.1% |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% | 25.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% | 60.1% |
Score Analysis |
Jamaica | Draw | USA |
1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.34% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.8% |
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