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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 10pm UK
Independence Park
UN

Jamaica
1 - 1
USA

Antonio (22')
Watson (8'), Brown (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Weah (11')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
JamaicaDrawUSA
36.48%25.71%37.8%
Both teams to score 55.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08%48.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99%71.01%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94%26.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89%61.1%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89%60.1%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 36.48%
    USA 37.8%
    Draw 25.71%
JamaicaDrawUSA
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.8%

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