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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano
PN

Honduras
2 - 3
Panama

Elis (30'), Moya (59')
Elis (11'), Lozano (18'), Melendez (65'), Lopez (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Waterman Ruiz (77'), Yanis (81'), Davis (85')
Stephens (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Honduras win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawPanama
36.34%24.9%38.76%
Both teams to score 58.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75%45.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41%67.58%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13%58.87%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84%23.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97%57.03%
Score Analysis
    Honduras 36.34%
    Panama 38.76%
    Draw 24.9%
HondurasDrawPanama
2-1 @ 8.22%
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.76%

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