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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 11pm UK
Independence Park
CN

Jamaica
0 - 0
Canada


Fisher (7'), Watson (16'), Roofe (47'), Gray (80')
FT

Piette (21')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
JamaicaDrawCanada
31.77%26.09%42.13%
Both teams to score 52.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61%51.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79%73.21%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82%30.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.66%66.34%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83%24.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51%58.49%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 31.77%
    Canada 42.12%
    Draw 26.08%
JamaicaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 2.09%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.12%

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