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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
AN

San Marino
0 - 3
Andorra


Simoncini (22'), Golinucci (63'), Censoni (66'), Grandoni (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pujol (10'), Moreno (53'), Fernandez (89')
San Nicolas (28')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawAndorra
34.34%23.4%42.25%
Both teams to score 63.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6%38.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31%60.68%
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.85%
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41%18.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14%49.86%
Score Analysis
    San Marino 34.34%
    Andorra 42.25%
    Draw 23.4%
San MarinoDrawAndorra
2-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 34.34%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-1 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 42.25%

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