Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 9.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.95%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.09%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.