Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.68%) and 3-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
