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Nations League | League B
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
SN

Norway
0 - 2
Serbia

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlahovic (42'), Mitrovic (54')
Kostic (50'), Pavlovic (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Norway
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Sweden
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Norway 1-2 Serbia

While Norway are reliant on one man to fire them to success, Serbia's all-round attacking riches mean that they can even win when their backs are against the wall. At the end of an entertaining shootout, it could be the visitors that ascend to the Nations League's top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawSerbia
47.16% (-0.197 -0.2) 25.75% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 27.08% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.33% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.238 -0.24)52.23% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.205 -0.2)73.94% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)22.14% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (-0.282 -0.28)55.52% (0.277 0.28)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)34.07% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.75% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Norway 47.16%
    Serbia 27.08%
    Draw 25.75%
NorwayDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Norway
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 3-2 Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 1-2 Norway
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-1 Norway
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 9-0 Armenia
Tuesday, March 29 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Sweden
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 2-2 Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Slovenia
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-1 Norway
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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