Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.