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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 12pm UK
 
LN

South Korea
1 - 0
Lebanon

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maatouk (49'), Shour (56'), Al Zein (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawLebanon
57.59%24.76%17.65%
Both teams to score 42.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53%57.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73%78.26%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09%19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96%52.03%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.56%46.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.94%82.06%
Score Analysis
    South Korea 57.58%
    Lebanon 17.65%
    Draw 24.75%
South KoreaDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 14.92%
2-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 4.97%
4-0 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 57.58%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.09%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 17.65%

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