SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Thailand win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Thailand |
75.69% ( 0.61) | 14.83% ( -0.18) | 9.48% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.12% ( -0.53) | 32.88% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.62) | 54.58% ( 0.62) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.77% | 7.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.77% ( 0) | 26.24% ( -0) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.45% ( -1.23) | 43.55% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.25% ( -1.04) | 79.75% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Thailand |
| 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.68% | 1-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.83% | 1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.48% |
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