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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
TN

South Korea
1 - 1
Thailand

Heung-min (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mueanta (61')
Thongsong (11')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 2-0 South Korea
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: South Korea 3-0 Thailand

Even with several notable omissions from their squad, South Korea still boast plenty of quality and should have more than enough to see Thailand off on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Thailand win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawThailand
75.69% (0.607 0.61) 14.83% (-0.18 -0.18) 9.48% (-0.4279 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-1.137 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.12% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)32.88% (0.534 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.42% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)54.58% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.77%7.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.45% (-1.226 -1.23)43.55% (1.227 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.25% (-1.035 -1.04)79.75% (1.035 1.04)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 75.68%
    Thailand 9.48%
    Draw 14.83%
South KoreaDrawThailand
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 9.51% (0.267 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.233 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.25% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-0 @ 3.28% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.041 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 75.68%
1-1 @ 6.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.83%
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jordan 2-0 South Korea
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-2 South Korea
Friday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 4pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-3 Malaysia
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-1 Bahrain
Monday, January 15 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Thailand
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Oman 0-0 Thailand
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Thailand 2-0 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, January 16 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Japan 5-0 Thailand
Monday, January 1 at 5am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 5-0 Thailand
Monday, January 1 at 5am in International Friendlies


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