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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 2, 2021 at 5pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
SN

Iran
1 - 0
Syria

Jahanbakhsh (56')
Khalilzadeh (45+3'), Mohammadi (62'), Taremi (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Husain Esraa Alhamwiah (17'), Kerdagli (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Syria had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match.

Result
IranDrawSyria
61.76%22.47%15.76%
Both teams to score 45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1%51.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35%73.64%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07%45.93%
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.43%45.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62%81.38%
Score Analysis
    Iran 61.75%
    Syria 15.77%
    Draw 22.47%
IranDrawSyria
1-0 @ 13.48%
2-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 5.8%
4-0 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.28%
5-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 61.75%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.47%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 4.17%
0-2 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 1.09%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.77%

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