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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
TN

Netherlands
6 - 1
Turkey

Klaassen (1'), Depay (16', 38' pen., 54'), Til (80'), Malen (90')
Wijnaldum (31'), van Dijk (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Under (90+2')
Kokcu (15'), Yokuslu (29'), Soyuncu (36'), Kabak (58')
Soyuncu (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawTurkey
55.8%23%21.2%
Both teams to score 53.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.81%46.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51%68.48%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62%16.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98%46.01%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.04%35.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.26%72.74%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 55.8%
    Turkey 21.2%
    Draw 22.99%
NetherlandsDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.64%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-1 @ 0.97%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.8%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.2%

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