Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
Result | ||
Netherlands | Draw | Turkey |
55.8% | 23% | 21.2% |
Both teams to score 53.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.81% | 46.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% | 68.48% |
Netherlands Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% | 16.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.98% | 46.01% |
Turkey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% | 35.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% | 72.74% |
Score Analysis |
Netherlands | Draw | Turkey |
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.64% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 5.81% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.8% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.2% |
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