Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
