Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Atlas
54.41% ( -0.44)	23.9% ( 0.23)	21.69% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61% (

-0.71)

49.38% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.57% (

-0.64)

71.43% (

0.64)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95% (

-0.42)

18.04% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.05% (

-0.73)

48.94% (

0.73)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72% (

-0.2)

37.27% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.94% (

-0.19)

74.06% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Toluca 54.4%

Atlas 21.69%

Draw 23.89%

Toluca	Draw	Atlas
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.4%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.69%