Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
