SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Nuremberg |
49.77% ( 0.69) | 25.08% ( -0.18) | 25.14% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( 0.33) | 50.93% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( 0.29) | 72.8% ( -0.29) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( 0.42) | 20.47% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.05% ( 0.67) | 52.95% ( -0.67) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.25) | 34.97% ( 0.25) |
