SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
34.28% ( 0.29) | 25.16% ( -0.05) | 40.56% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 56.83% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( 0.28) | 46.7% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( 0.26) | 68.97% ( -0.26) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( 0.3) | 26.3% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.57% ( 0.41) | 61.42% ( -0.41) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0) | 22.89% ( -0.01) |
