Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
1.29) 
-1.39) 
