SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Magdeburg |
33.66% ( 1.29) | 23.81% ( 0.1) | 42.53% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( -0.02) | 40.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.02) | 62.93% ( 0.02) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0.74) | 23.75% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.11% ( 1.05) | 57.89% ( -1.05) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.6) | 19.35% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.99) | 51.13% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.26% Total : 42.53% |
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