Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0) 
