Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
-0.52) 
0.17) 
