SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
64.13% ( -0.52) | 19.48% ( 0.17) | 16.39% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.11) | 37.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( -0.12) | 60.08% ( 0.12) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( -0.17) | 11.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.36% ( -0.37) | 35.64% ( 0.37) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( 0.36) | 36.23% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.36) | 73.02% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.39% Total : 64.13% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 16.39% |
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